
SPY Market Analysis — Week of December 8, 2025
📅 DAILY MARKET ANALYSIS (SPY — Daily Chart)
Last week we were watching for the new bull flag to form, and the market wasted no time delivering it.
Monday opened lower, immediately giving us the lower high and lower low needed to confirm the flag structure after the previous week’s explosive rally.
But unlike the recent pattern fake-outs…
This one didn’t break. It activated.
Instead of collapsing, price immediately started working the pattern, pressing into resistance over and over through the week. By Friday, SPY printed atopping tail right into / just above bear resistance at 684.96, finishing the week with momentum shifting back toward the highs.
That puts:
Monthly / Weekly resistance (ATH zone)back in view
Fib Target 1 of the flag at 692.6directly overhead
And thebreakout continuation pathclearly defined
If bulls can maintain this breakout,692.6 is the next stop, followed by a retest of the all-time highs.
⚠️ What to Watch This Week
If the breakout holds
Price likely pushes directly into692.6, and the daily bull flag continues to play out toward new highs.
If price loses the 10EMA (D)
Expect a pullback into support and a redraw of fibs.
That tightening raises risk of:
A deeper retest of the100SMA, or
A larger corrective moveif the weekly trend fails and price loses the 50SMA
The weekly chart is in a delicate spot. Another leg up becomes far more likelyif bulls can secure a weekly MACD cross back to bullish.
🎯 Bottom Line
Momentum is shifting.
The VIX has collapsed.
Markets are back pressing into major resistance.
Bulls have the ball —but this week will tell us if they can keep controland convert this bull flag into the next leg toward new ATHs.
This is a pivotal week.